Hello!
Let's solve this by definition of probability, counting all possible events and the desirable ones.
If we remember what cake was eaten first, then there are possible events (the first cake may be any of
the second is any of
remaining).
The desirable cases (when the first and the second cakes are different) may be divided into three disjoint subsets: 1) when the first cake is a fruit slice, 2) when the first is a doughnut and 3) when it is an iced bun. We have to count the number of events in these groups and add them.
In the case 1), there is possibility to choose a fruit slice and
possibilities to choose a different second cake. Remember
In the case 2), there are possibilities to choose a doughnut and only
to choose a different second cake (
remaining doughnuts are not suitable). Remember
In the case 3) there are possibilities.
The sum is
So the probability in question is
Choose whatever form you prefer.
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